Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.069070 0.080465 0.093080 0.108072 0.125395 0.144774 0.168091
2024-10-13 0.052127 0.067283 0.085765 0.109918 0.140615 0.178289 0.228008
2024-10-20 0.039739 0.055701 0.076732 0.106381 0.147017 0.200671 0.276806
2024-10-27 0.031602 0.047473 0.069784 0.103295 0.152199 0.220790 0.324122
2024-11-03 0.027224 0.043419 0.067493 0.105671 0.164458 0.251270 0.388872
2024-11-10 0.024448 0.041124 0.067173 0.110520 0.180502 0.288635 0.467849
2024-11-17 0.021746 0.038413 0.065661 0.113045 0.192923 0.321540 0.543513
2024-11-24 0.019162 0.035433 0.063187 0.113468 0.201703 0.349299 0.613734
2024-12-01 0.016883 0.032595 0.060486 0.112999 0.208674 0.374519 0.682191
2024-12-08 0.014842 0.029854 0.057532 0.111578 0.213605 0.396505 0.747136
2024-12-15 0.013762 0.028756 0.057387 0.115213 0.228010 0.436567 0.848631
2024-12-22 0.012765 0.027662 0.057078 0.118431 0.241898 0.476987 0.954951
2024-12-29 0.011914 0.026774 0.057114 0.122448 0.258057 0.523886 1.079855
2025-01-05 0.011074 0.025788 0.056825 0.125780 0.273278 0.570701 1.210058
2025-01-12 0.009717 0.023455 0.053409 0.122083 0.273504 0.587633 1.281758
2025-01-19 0.008563 0.021406 0.050315 0.118647 0.273789 0.604573 1.355143
2025-01-26 0.008001 0.020662 0.050018 0.121390 0.287879 0.651935 1.498422
2025-02-02 0.007678 0.020448 0.050901 0.126943 0.308918 0.716429 1.686009
2025-02-09 0.007211 0.019801 0.050675 0.129833 0.324117 0.769549 1.853688
2025-02-16 0.006650 0.018826 0.049523 0.130318 0.333650 0.810794 1.998440
2025-02-23 0.006093 0.017775 0.048040 0.129781 0.340612 0.846762 2.134554
2025-03-02 0.005541 0.016652 0.046226 0.128156 0.344653 0.876186 2.258020
2025-03-09 0.005302 0.016377 0.046599 0.132314 0.363921 0.944403 2.483685